John Resig estimates that IE7 will be the most popular browser next year, followed by IE6, Firefox 3, Safari 3 and then Opera.
I agree that IE6 will stay on the scene for quite a while because of corporate intranets and legacy systems, but I'd think Safari 2 will stick around for a similar reason. Mac owners aren't all necessarily going to upgrade to OSX 10.4.9 because that might cause their old expensive software to stop working.
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